SPOILERS for Game of Thrones seasons 1-7
There’s been a lot of death in Game of Thrones, an estimated 150,966 deaths to be more clear. That estimate came from Reidar Lystad and Benjamin Brown, injury epidemiologists at Macquarie University who studied all 67 episodes to try and prove if you can scientifically predict who will live and die in the show’s final season.
Let’s take a look at their result:
The 150,966 deaths come from the large scale battles, massacres, and…you konw…dragons fucking up the place. So the researchers stuck with named characters for these results.
Total Named Characters: 330
Dead Named Characters: 186 (56.4%)
Shortest Time Alive: 11 secs
Longest Time Alive: 57 hrs 15 min
The Probability of Surviving 1 Hr: 0.86%
#1 Cause of Death: neck wounds and decapitations – 40 (21.5%)
Neck Wounds: 26 (14%)
Decapitation: 13 (7%)
Crushing of the Head: 1 (0.5%)
#2 Cause of Death: open wound of the torso – 27 (14.5%)
Open Chest Wound: 21 (11.3%)
Open Abdomen, Lower Back, Pelvis Wound: 6 (3.2%)
Between 1 and 2, there are discrepancies between the 25 deaths involving Open Wounds of Multiple Body Regions, and 2 Crushing Injuries Involving Multiple Body Regions.
#3 Cause of Death: Burns and Corrosions – 22 (11.8%)
Burns of Multiple Body Regions: 22 (11.8%)
(Yeah, it seems repetitive to type that out twice, but I like uniformity)
So we know how we’re going to die in Westeros, but who lives? Who’s more likely to end up on the Iron Throne?
The 3 big categories the researchers sorted by were:
Male: 237 | Female: 93
Highborn: 104 | Lowborn: 226
Loyal: 285 | Switched Allegiances: 45
The top two contenders for surviving the series are the Stark sisters, Arya and Sansa.
The best thing in this show you can be is a Highborn Female who has Switched Allegiances.
Arya, born of the house stark, and switched between being part of the Faceless Men of Bravos, a love/hate relationship with The Hound, and has always played her allegiance with Sansa on the fence.
Sansa is in a similar boat with Arya, also born of the House Stark and jumping between the Starks, Lannisters, and Littlefinger for a good while before coming back to House Stark.
My boy Tyrion Lannister may be a male, but he is still highborn who has been hand to almost every single ruler you can imagine. Dude’s been through some shit.
Does Jon Snow even really count considering he already died? Either way, he is of House Stark and House Targaryen and jumped between the Night’s Watch, the Free Folk, became King in the North, and has now bent the knee to Daenerys.
Chances are slim for everyone’s favorite blonde, Daenerys of the House Targaryen, the First of Her Name, The Unburnt, Queen of the Andals, the Rhoynar and the First Men, Queen of Meereen, Khaleesi of the Great Grass Sea, Protector of the Realm, Lady Regent of the Seven Kingdoms, Breaker of Chains and Mother of Dragons.
And with a name like that good, let her die. That’s annoying. While female and Highborn, those who have stayed loyal to their goals/causes/houses have such a higher rate of death that it could be what does her in.
The same goes for the current Queen of the Iron Throne, Cersei Lannister. And honestly, if I want anyone to die it’s her. I want Jamie to slice her down as his 3rd act of Kingslaying (I count Ned Stark) and avenge everything she has done to him and Tyrion.
The research also states that all this could really mean nothing. It’s Game of Thrones after all, anything can happen. Regardless, we have 57 days until the season 8 premiere and I have 63.5 hours of show to watch again to prepare.
H/T MentalFloss / Lystad and Brown’s Study
https://textbacklinkexchanges.com/can-science-predict-who-will-win-the-game-of-thrones-13-gifs/
News Photo Can science predict who will win the Game of Thrones? (13 GIFs)
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