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суббота, 19 ноября 2016 г.

Studying the Social Potential of Technorati’s WTF : A Statistical Analysis and Conclusion

Built on the backbone of the largest blog index and search engine in the world, Technorati’s Where’s The Fire (WTF) seems to be an anomaly that doesn’t fit in any preconceived model. Is it primarily a social news website (ala Reddit/Digg) that focuses on each user’s editorial power? Or is it simply a meme-tracker which groups and connects search topics on a deeper level with Technorati-indexed blogs?
My initial experiment on WTF was aimed at uncovering the potential of WTF as a marketing/promotional tool because no one had ever done so in detail until now. The lack of statistical information or analysis on WTF makes understanding WTF’s role in social media/blogging harder to discern.
As promised in my previous post, here’s my detailed report on WTF. I’ve waited three days before publishing this, in order to collect sufficient data for analysis. The aim of this is to examine the amount of traffic that would result from being on WTF’s frontpage and top spot.
I want to first say thanks to all who have voted so far. Your votes have allowed my blurb to stay on the frontpage for the past few days and gave me a chance to study its impact on an individual blog.
I was pleasantly surprised to note that Dave Sifry, Founder and CEO of Technorati voted for the blurb as well (Thanks, Dave!). Perhaps this reflects the importance of having more analysis and information on how WTF can affect each individual blogger or contributer.
The blurb I’ve submitted to WTF reached the Top spot under the Today’s Hottest Blurbs section and stayed there for three whole days while alternating between second and third place alongside several other submitted blurbs when they were voted up as well.
Currently, the blurb has received 41 votes in total as of this moment and is still at the top spot.
I’ve collected all the traffic data for the past three days and have written this little report on my findings. I’m sure the question on everyone’s mind is how much traffic came from staying on the WTF frontpage and top three spots for the past 3 days.
Another possible question of importance: Is Technorati WTF a social website you should use to promote your blog and content?
My answer to this is a simple yes. Technorati WTF is a social tool you should explore if you’re interested in getting more exposure to your blog. My reasons for saying so are indicated in this article, so please read on for more information.
Revealing the Potential of WTF: Issues of Usability and Growth
A commenter in my previous post suggested that revealing traffic details and encouraging others to get on the WTF frontpage will lead negative repercussions, mainly in the form of overcrowding on WTF, heavy competition and a drop in content blurb quality.
Perhaps so. I would expect that some bloggers after reading this post will start to use WTF has a marketing tool to promote their blogs. This will indeed intensify the competition, making it more crowded with possible junk content that results from mob voting.
Self-promotion is fine in my opinion, at long as you offer unique content on a specific topic and add to the discussion. Dave Sifry’s post on WTF gives an example of the blurbs you can write:
You can write a WTF on any topic that someone would search for, and provide information and resources to them about that topic or subject. So, you might want to write a WTF about yourself or your friends names, or your company (or maybe even your competition!)
Dave is also pretty explicit on the issues of vote gathering:
If you think that you’ve got a better explanation than the one that shows up on top of Technorati search results for a term, no worries, just go and write your own, and get your friends to vote for it. When you write something great, tell your friends to go and vote for it.. and the voting system will take care of the rest.
My goal in publishing this mini-report is to ultimately encourage more discussion on the purpose of WTF and also more usage of WTF to share quality information on a variety of topics.
For most bloggers, proof of WTF’s ability to send traffic is validation for its worth as a social website. If you’ve never used Technorati’s WTF before, this report will probably give you some reason to start today.
A Look at the Traffic Statistics
According to Google Analytics, I’ve received 425 visitors in the span of three days from being at the top or second and third spots in WTF’s Hottest Blurbs section. The blurb was submitted on Sunday, 1st April and received around 18 visitors an hour after it was voted to the top spot of WTF.
The next day, it received more votes as well as 160 visitors before slowing down to 140 on Tuesday and 107 on Wednesday. However, the article continues to remain at the top of WTF and I should expect a similar flow of visitors for today and Friday.
As you can clearly tell, the traffic is puny by the standards of other social websites like Digg or Reddit. Note that blurbs on other popular topics might do much better but I guess we can safely assume that this should be minimum amount of traffic you’ll get from being on the WTF frontpage.
The additional benefit of using WTF is that you’ll get prime position on top of Technorati search results pages. For example, if you do a search for ‘Technorati’, you’ll see that my WTF blurb shows up right on top because it has gathered the greatest number of votes among all other blurbs.
This might bring long term traffic if the topic is fairly popular. I can imagine that topics such as Paris Hilton or American Idol will have much larger search volumes.
Observations on the Nature of Traffic from WTF
  • Visitors consist of Bloggers. This is the number one point about Technorati’s WTF. Unlike other social networks the people visiting your blog are very likely to be bloggers instead of your casual web surfer.
  • Traffic comes in a steady stream. There is no surge of visitors to your website and I particularly like the fact that the number of visitors doesn’t seem to wear out over the span of a few hours.I’ve been receiving visitors from WTF ever since I’ve submitted my blurb and it does seem like it will continue as long as the blurb remains on the front page.
How does traffic from WTF benefit my blog or website?
The most ostensible and apparent benefit from visitors from WTF is the fact that they are very likely to be bloggers, which means that:
  • Your subscriber/reader base will increase . I’ve seen a rise in feed subscribers in the past three days. Although I can’t confirm that most of it was due to visitors from WTF, I’m very certain it had something to do with it.Bloggers are feed-savvy and are likely to subscribe easily when presented with content they like.
  • It might generate incoming inks to your website. Bloggers are part of the linkerati, a group of individuals that are web-savvy and link-friendly.I’ve only received two incoming links for my blurb but that’s probably because the topic might not be interesting for everyone. I’m sure intriguing pop culture, tech or political topics might perform better.
How do I get on the Technorati WTF frontpage?
WTF operates through a voting system which designates blurbs as popular or hot according to both the freshness and number of votes. These factors ensure that blurbs will gradually fall off the front page once it stops receiving votes and more blurbs are submitted.
Getting on the Technorati WTF frontpage is relatively easy. Let’s start by looking at some of the characteristics of the Technorati WTF frontpage:
  • Lack of other WTF submissions. There doesn’t seem to be many Technorati members actively using WTF and I’ve only seen several new submissions which joust for position on the frontpage. Most of them received 5 to 12 votes and remained on the frontpage alongside my blurb.
  • Longetivity. Links can remain on the top spot or front page for several days as long as it receives a small number of votes everyday. After getting on the frontpage, 2 to 5 votes a day will ensure that your blurb continues to maintain or improve its position.
  • Ease of getting listed: It’s actually very easy to get on the WTF front page. Approximately 5 quick votes after your blurb has been published will easily get you to the top spot, and you’ll need around 14 votes over the next day to hit the top spot.
  • Votes are absolute: Unlike Digg, your blurb cannot be buried and your vote counts for perpetuity. You don’t have the chance to unvote a specific story and group behavior from other members cannot influence your position. This ensures that votes are the ultimate deciding factor when it comes to being on the WTF frontpage.
  • User profiles do not matter. It doesn’t matter if you’re a power user who’s submitted many blurbs with high votes. Each vote will count as a positive recommendation which pushes it towards the top. There is absolutely no correlation or relationship between user profiles and blurb voting or submission power.
  • Lack of user interaction. There’s no option to ‘friend’ other Technorati users or send them private messages, nor is there the ability to comment on a blurb. Likewise, there is no way to easily track stories submitted by specific WTF users although there is the option of subscribing to their WTF RSS feeds. This means that vote gathering has to be done through alternative means like post requests, IM or email.
  • Freshness matters. As shown by the following screenshot, blurbs with votes lesser than mine can still reach the top spot. I’m assuming that the newness of both blurbs and user votes are a factor in determining the hottest blurb for the day. To remain in the top spot, you’ll need fresh votes everyday.
Of course, all these factors might change once more bloggers start to use Technorati WTF. However, the basic principle remains the same: you need votes and nothing else to get to the frontpage.
Steps to take..
  1. After you’ve published a specific post on a topic, create a WTF blurb.
  2. Go back to your post and insert a link to the WTF blurb and ask your readers to vote for it.
  3. Email/IM other bloggers you know and ask them to vote for your story.
  4. Encourage fellow bloggers or friends to subscribe to your WTF feed for future stories.
These four steps should be adequate enough to ensure that your blurb hits the front page. Getting regular votes over the next few days will depend on the strength of your audience and traction it receives over on WTF.
19 Comments - Share Your Thoughts
  • francesco mapelli on April 5th, 2007
    Grat post, Maki!
    I think you discovered a new and still “not polluted” social service.
    Well done!
  • Anita on April 5th, 2007
    Francesco – not polluted until now! As soon as people learn of a new way to self-promote, that channel slowly becomes saturated with:
    1st: Quality content, such as this
    2nd: Content that is useful to some, but generally banal
    3rd: Carefully masked ads
    4th: Spam
    As soon as the popularity causes submissions to reache the 3rd or 4th stage, the social site starts putting up blockades to getting your content listed/front-paged. If WTF becomes popular, I expect the same, although something tells me it won’t ever become THAT popular.
    Why? Because Technorati still hasn’t gotten their act together with network responsiveness. The whole system is slow, even WTF. Google Blog Search stinks compared to Technorati’s, but is now more popular because you get instant results … as opposed to Technorati’s where you sometimes wait 20 seconds just to be told the site is having problems.
  • francesco mapelli on April 6th, 2007
    Anita,
    It’s sad, but true…that’s the reason I said “still not polluted”
    We have to cross our fingers and hope wtf will not become too popular… smaller social sites are far more usable and of higher quality than big ones…
  • shokthx on April 6th, 2007
    This is the first I have heard of WTF. I find their site a bit hard to navigate for some reason.
    Very interesting idea.
  • Maki on April 6th, 2007
    Anita,
    I share your concerns as well.. I’ve been following WTF closely for a while and have noticed that the WTF admin team does remove spam blurbs pretty quickly.
    My main concern is that bloggers with large reader bases will exploit the absolute voting schematic by keeping their blurb consistently at the top of WTF.. I think it would be nice to see more variety on the frontpage.
    Skokthx.. you’re not the first one who told me that this is the first time they’ve even heard about WTF
  • Roberto Alamos Moreno on April 6th, 2007
    Great analysis Maki, thanks for sharing it with us. I think that by now is clear that WTF can’t compete with digg or reddit because the amount of traffic it generates is minimal for an established blogger, but it can be interesting for a new blog or website to make promotion there just to get those 100+ daily new visitors.
  • John Loch on April 6th, 2007
    Nice post Maki.
    I do wonder why they dont bother with a CAPTCHA though. Be it for voting or signup. Maybe they’re still waiting for that ‘critical mass’.
    But until they do, Technorati’s reliability is conspicuously undermined. It seems social sites can be distilled to an expression of object popularity, and the way I see it, it’s far too easy to compromise that process with Technorati.
    The WTF voting process (regardless of how a voting entity comes about), is in my opinion a fantastic way to measure popularity. It also lends itself to efficiency where abuse detection is concerned.
    Again, a wonderful post, and well worth the effort given the QUALITY of traffic you saw from WTF.
  • digitalnomad on April 6th, 2007
    Thanks for the update on your test. It will be interesting to see where this goes, based on the comments.
    Anita seems to have a handle on this. I suspect that over the next few days we will see many people posting to “WTF”.
  • Lilly on April 6th, 2007
    I think you have some of the best posts for indepth information I’ve found yet!
  • Antony Berkman on April 7th, 2007
    Maki,
    Interesting stuff.
    What enhancments could they introduce that makes WTF more than a blogger’s play area where the game is to be at the top of a list?
  • Garrett Albright on April 8th, 2007
    Hmm… Check out this WTF blurb about the Big 3 search engines announcing their support of rel=”follow”. I’m pretty sure it’s BS, since I can’t find any news about it anywhere and nofollow is not part of XFN as the author says it is, but still it’s managed to get ten votes so far. There’s no links in the article, though, so it doesn’t seem like spam… How odd.
    Anyway, I’ve been experimenting with WTFs too, since Maki’s first post. First I did one on the TRS-80 Model 100, with a link to an article on my own blog about it (of course), but then I realized that that’s probably too specific of a topic for someone to search for. So I tried HD DVD and Blu-ray, and, after seeing “art” in the “These topics need WTFs!” column, I did a semi-serious one on that subject. There hasn’t been a real noticeable bump in traffic from Technorati since I wrote those, but I guess every little bit helps.
  • digitalnomad on April 8th, 2007
    Thanks for the updates. Keep them coming.
  • Maki on April 9th, 2007
    Maki,
    Interesting stuff.
    What enhancments could they introduce that makes WTF more than a blogger’s play area where the game is to be at the top of a list?
    Antony, Technorati could develop a comment system, which allows voters and bloggers to interact with each other. Increasing the length of the frontpage to include more entries will also develop diversity in information shared.
    I guess you can call it a ‘game’ but the ultimate emphasis is the fact that bloggers are given editorial ability to determine news and influence Technorati’s search results page listings.
    The development of voting mechanisms will inevitably lead to group based strategies and competition and that’s an inevitable effect of decentralization in social websites like WTF, Reddit and Digg.
    In some way, WTF can’t evolve beyond that but encouraging more users and allowing more interaction will probably extend WTF’s focus beyond mere voting and rankings.
    @Garrett
    You’ll definitely need to get some friends to seed the article or else it’ll be lost in the wilderness. The 10 votes for the XFN piece probably came from friends of the blurber.
    Agloco spam is also starting to show up on WTF as well due to group voting..
  • The Constructivist on May 3rd, 2007
    I’d like to say this inspired me to Declare War on Technorati, but I only bothered clicking on this today. It was actually my frustration with WTF and the fact that some religious guy who criticized Technorati and pledged never to read it again made it to a #1 search recently that was the initial inspiration for the post.
  • Bobby Revell on August 19th, 2007
    Great post. My first WTF has been#1 for 8 days straight and has 123 votes. I did gain 21 new subscribers since I wrote it. I find it easier than Digg and it’s easier for me to get voters as I know a lot of people on Technorati.
    I have been getting some new traffic that is looking for what I wrote about! I also pointed to this post for my readers to check out:)

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